I took the results and splits from last year's WS race and did some calculations with them. For all finishers, I figured out what percentage of their total finishing time was spent in each segment of the race, based on the data from the WS web site.
I used last year's data because last year's course is the same as this year's course (I believe) and both years will be low-snow years. Last year was cooler than average, so a hot day this year may invalidate some of this data.
After calculating the percentages by segment, I grabbed the median value from each data set. The sum of the medians was 99.14%, so I divided each segment percentage by 99.14%, so I'd end up with 100%. From this, I calculated an expected arrival time for each runner at the major (timed) aid stations, based on a pace of 16, 18, 20, 22, 24, 26, 28 and 30 hours.
I like to give my crew something like this for every race (usually only for 24-30 hours though), so they can use this to estimate when I'll be at the next aid station. They can also see if I'm picking things up relative to the pack or if I'm falling off. I added the faster split segments this time in case any fast readers happen across my blog.
Please note that my times for the 24 hour pace are slightly different than what you'll find on the WS web page.
Click on the image to see it in a larger and more readable size.